Japan Trends

  • The U.S. Marine Corps Is Changing — and So Is Its Role in Japan

    Watching the current war with Iran, one striking feature is that U.S. Navy warships, particularly aircraft carriers, are staying away from the Strait of Hormuz—or perhaps are simply unable to get close to it. Presumably, the danger posed by mines, as well as Iranian missiles and drones, is simply too great. . If we transpose this situation to the Far…


  • Rethinking Japan’s Place in a Rising Asia

    (This article appeared in Newsweek Japan on August 18.) On August 8, news broke that both South Korea and Taiwan had surpassed Japan in exports during the first half of this year. Since the mid-1990s, I had already grown weary of hearing the world sneer that “Japan is finished—even in Asia.” This latest news felt almost like the final blow.…


  • The Emperor of Japan: Myths and Facts

    During the first half of this year, revision of the Imperial House Law became a major issue in the Diet. The Imperial House Law is a statute, separate from the Constitution, that lays down various rules governing the Imperial Family. The main purpose of the proposed revision was to address the shrinking size of the Imperial Family, now down to…


  • Putin’s Visit to Japan’s Northern Territories

    Yesterday, Putin visited Japan’s Northern Territories—the islands north of Japan that the Soviet Union seized by force at the end of World War II, expelled their Japanese residents from, and has refused to return ever since. The Japanese media went into an uproar. . It is embarrassing. All Japan accomplishes by making such a fuss is to advertise to the…


  • Japan should avoid unnecessarily provoking China-On the Occasion of the Renewal of the National Security Strategy

    Akio KawatoFormer Ambassador to Uzbekistan; Former DCM, Embassy of Japan in Russia . (Japan is currently conducting its once-every-few-years review of national security policy. As a result, the country’s three core strategic documents—the National Security Strategy, the National Defense Strategy, and the Defense Buildup Program—are being revised. Recently, the Research Institute for Peace and Security (RIPS) published a collection of…


  • How Japan Realized Economic Development 1: The Myth of the “Japanese Model”

    (Until the rise of South Korea and, later, China, Japan’s economic development was a major focus of attention for developing countries and former socialist nations seeking economic reform. This was because Japan was the only non-white country to have achieved industrialization.Although Japan’s economy is not currently attracting much global attention, there will likely come a time when interest returns. In…


  • Will U.S.–North Korea Relations Start Moving Again? And What Should Japan Do?

    .                            Akio KAWATO On the 14th, almost at the same moment that President Trump announced a ceasefire agreement with Iran, he posted on social media an old photograph of himself standing beside Kim Jong Un. Perhaps he was sending a message: “Iran is done. North Korea is next.” . It is not a bad idea. If the historical grievances and accumulated…


  • Why Are Environmental Activists So Quiet in This Heat?

    It’s been scorching hot day after day. People say that if you fall on the pavement, you can suffer serious burns from the heat of the asphalt. Even the cicadas seem to have disappeared. These days, their larvae may be cooked underground before they ever emerge, and summer arrives with hardly a chirp. . Come to think of it, it’s…


  • Has the Japanese Economy Really Been Shrinking?

    (This column originally appeared in the November 2021 issue of my newsletter “Kaleidoscope of Civilization.” The basic situation has not changed much since then, so I am reposting it here.) . .Akio KAWATO Ever since the 2010 publication of the book The Real Cause of Deflation: Economies Move with Population Waves, a powerful idea has taken root in Japan: that…


  • Can IWON Optical Communication Technology Become Japan’s Savior?

    . KAWATO Akio IWON stands for Innovative Optical & Wireless Network, an optical communications technology now being developed by NTT. Light is also a form of electromagnetic wave, but it has several advantages over conventional radio-based communications. Above all, it allows vastly larger data capacity and longer-distance transmission. Data transmission capacity, NTT alleges, could increase by as much as 125…